Mortgage Rates Newsletter - Market Analysis

Provided courtesy of: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/reports/mortgage_rates/archive

Who's Lying About The Spike in Mortgage Rates?
Fri, 24 Sep 2021 23:46:51 GMT - As recently as Thursday, news outlets were reporting mortgage rates had only risen modestly this week with 30yr fixed rates still well under 3.00%. In fact, they were already well over 3.00% by then. So who's lying to you? Perhaps no one! Thursday's news fell victim to the oldest trick in the mortgage rate reporting book. Well, it's not a trick so much as a pitfall , but it's surprisingly common given how easy it would be to avoid. The issue centers on Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey. As the name suggests, this is an actual survey that's sent out to thousands of originators over the weekend. Responses are accepted through Wednesday, but a majority of responses are in by Monday morning. Results aren't released until Thursday. This isn't a problem when rates remain relatively flat between
Mortgage Rates Are Actually MUCH Higher This Week
Thu, 23 Sep 2021 19:47:38 GMT - Mortgage rates jumped substantially higher today as global markets reacted to yesterday's Fed announcement. But that's really just scratching the surface. The Fed is a convenient talking point because simply due to timing and the absence of another obvious, singular source of inspiration. It's entirely possible that the confluence of other factors would be producing a similar result regardless of the Fed. In fact, the bond market is talking about 8-9 separate potential market movers today. Most of them are fairly esoteric. The Fed's decision to telegraph a tapering announcement in November is one of the simplest topics, but simpler still is the week-over-week drop in covid case counts in the US. Late September was always going to be important in that regard for several reasons. It's late enough
Epic Fed Needle Threading Leaves Rates Relatively Unchanged
Wed, 22 Sep 2021 21:47:34 GMT - Mortgage rates were surprisingly steady today as the bond market reacted to a new policy announcement from the Fed. Perhaps "reacted" is the wrong word considering the market's response. Specifically, the bond market (which dictates interest rates on mortgages and beyond) was hard to distinguish from most any other random trading day. That's nothing short of impressive given what transpired. So what transpired? That requires a bit of background, but let's make it quick. The Fed is currently buying $120 bln / month in new Treasuries and MBS. These purchases greatly contribute to the low rate environment for mortgages. The Fed has done this, off and on in the past since 2009. 2013 was the first major example of the Fed "tapering" its monthly bond purchases after an extended period of accommodation
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed Ahead of Fed Day
Tue, 21 Sep 2021 19:55:27 GMT - By the end of last week, mortgage rates moved up to match their highest levels in 2 months. After a modest recovery yesterday, today's rates are little-changed. As is often the case when examining day-to-day rate changes, we're talking about relatively small movements in the bigger picture. The average mortgage seeker would likely be seeing the same "note rate" on almost any day in more than a month now. In the most extreme circumstances, the change would be limited to 0.125% (typically the smallest increment separating different rate offerings for most lenders). When the bond market doesn't justify an entire eighth of a percent, lenders make adjustments via upfront costs/credits. In this way, the "effective rate" is changing every day even if the "note rate" is not. Certain days carry increased
Buying a Second Home

Buying a Second Home

Does it Make Sense to Buy a Second Home?

It may sound sweeter than it actually is.

Owning a second home may sound like something only the wildly rich do, but that isn't always so. Sometimes people buy a new house when they haven't had success selling the first. Other homeowners might like the idea of buying a second home to fix up and sell at a fat profit – or to rent out.

For the right individual, two homes may be a great plan. But for the wrong homeowner, plenty can go awry. If you're thinking of getting a second mortgage for practical or profitable reasons, now is a good time to have second thoughts, because... 

1. You need to have plenty of money. You don't have to belong to the 1 percent to pull this off, but for a bank to allow you to purchase a second home without plans to sell the first, you can't be just getting by, hoping a second house will fix your financial picture.
 
"Underwriters will want to know you have significant reserves – potentially a buffer worth six months of payments on both properties – before approving the loan," says Brian Seibert president of Michigan First Mortgage in Waterford, Michigan.
 
And while every lender will be different, as a general rule, you'll need to pay a higher down payment for a second home than you would a first.

2. You shouldn't have too much debt. You're taking on more debt when you buy a second home – something lenders take into account.

In most cases, the debt ratio can be 36 percent to 42 percent. That means, of course, that your debt – including mortgages, credit card debt, car loans and student loans – shouldn't exceed that 36 to 42 percent.

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Of course, if you're planning to offset some of that debt by bringing in monthly rental income from your second home, mention that to your lender, Markowitz says.

Renting out a home certainly lowers the risk of being rejected by a mortgage lender ... the general rule of thumb is to provide as much reassurance as possible.

3. You have to spend money to make money. It isn't just that you'll need a hefty down payment. Your monthly mortgage may well be higher than it would be if you just had one home.

Investors are viewed by banks as riskier customers; they are often subjected to higher interest rates. To avoid financing issues, many investors use cash financing or existing lines of credit to purchase investments."

You are also going to be maintaining two homes. You thought it was hard to make sure the bushes were trimmed for one house? Now, you get to double the fun.

Most people grossly underestimate the carrying costs of the investment in real estate. It's more than just taxes and insurance. Consider this scenario: Eventually – assuming you are hanging onto the second house and not selling it soon – you'll have two roofs to replace, two homes to paint and twice as many appliances, such as hot water heaters and refrigerators, to purchase, she says.

If you're spending money and losing money on the house but are truly looking at the property as a long-term investment, it may not matter to you to do that for a while, Duffy says. Some homeowners "are happy to take a loss on a property in the short term, and build up equity for a future period, such as retirement."

4. The buyers and renters may not come. Just because you have grand plans of renting out or selling a second home doesn't mean things will work out that way. If you're investing money into fixing up a property, that takes time – time that translates into money, Duffy says.

"Every day that an investment property sits empty means a loss in profitability to an investor," she says. "All repairs and renovations must be completed quickly in order to have the fastest turnaround ... Even with quality contractors, investors typically spend a significant amount of time working on houses, selecting paints and flooring, purchasing appliances or attending to the other details required to transform a home."

Even if you bought a fixer-upper that's all fixed up, you have to hope a renter or seller signs on the dotted line as soon as possible. And then, if you're renting the place, you have to hope your tenant sticks around.

"Personally, I don't recommend that my clients rely on sources of income that could suddenly stop. You have to be comfortable that if the property is not rented out, you'll still be on solid footing," says Kurt Fillmore, president of Wealth Trac Financial Group in Southfield, Michigan. (And back to the having-plenty-of-money point – Fillmore recommends having six months of emergency funds to cover the mortgages of both houses, in case something goes wrong.)

5. All of this is harder than it looks. Even if you sell or rent out a second home fairly quickly, you could have plenty go wrong later.            

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Real estate, even on a small scale, should be seen as another job or career. While it may be the right fit for some, it's not for everyone.         

It gets even harder if you're trying to flip houses and are solely thinking of them as investments. You should "understand the tax implications of short-term gains and non-primary-residence sales.

Buying a second house unless you are a real estate developer: "I would warn the average person not to get involved unless they have a unique expertise."

 

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